Fact is no one knows for certain. But the facts can be very instructive. This is not the first tough economic period the U.S. has experienced and it won’t be the last. To be accurate, giving in gross dollars to charity has risen nearly every year since 1955, with only one year seeing a decline. And during that time the economy has seen some struggles.
Many suggest that this is a particularly tough time not only because of the drop in the stock market but the rising unemployment rate. Together these are a bad mix and it would be hard to argue that. Some have hypothosized that we are also in an election year which will reflect negatively on giving across the sector.
Well, here are some facts…the USA Today recently published an article comparing YTD results of stock market performance since the great depression. The largest market drop measured by % decline in a 12 month period was 1999-2000 when the market dropped 49%. To date, 2007-2008 the drop is about 30%. In 2000 giving increased. Will it also increase in 2008?
In 1999-2000 there was also a presidential election. Giving increased. Will it in 2008?
Most Americans are not invested in the stock market, so does a drop really impact their wealth? Does a drop in the market decrease real wealth or decrease the overall gain made when investing?
Okay, you win there are a lot of questions leaving us to guess. I think giving will increase again, after all one thing we can agree on is this…if the economy is truly bad then the services we provide are more needed than ever and Americans can relate to that!